AAA's 10* WEST-COAST TOTAL EXPRESS - +$31,000 NBA RUN!
(NBA) Houston vs. Utah, 02/23/2016 4:00 PM, Score: 114 - 117
Total: 202.00 | -108.00 Over
Result: Loss
This is a 10* TOTAL EXPRESS on the UNDER between the Houston Rockets and the Utah Jazz.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Battle for eighth spot: Houston backed its way into the break, while Utah surged to finish the first half. After beating the Suns 116-100 on Friday though, the Rockets have taken a slim lead for eighth spot in the Western conference as the Jazz opened the second half with two losses in three games. The Rockets looked particularly sharp on the defensive end of the floor in their win over Phoenix, holding the Suns to 36.6 percent shooting, while also forcing 21 turnovers. Utah will be looking to avenge two earlier season losses to the Rockets though.

Among league's best defensively: Note that the Jazz are one of the top defensive teams in the league, allowing an average of just 96.8 PPG.

ATS statistics: Note that Houston has seen the total go UNDER the number in two of three this year when playing with three or more days rest, while Utah has seen the total stay below the posted number in 16 of 27 home games and in 17 of 27 when playing the role of favorite.

The bottom line: All signs point to an absolute war from start to finish and for this total to fall UNDER the posted number.

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