PREMIUM
AAA's SEC "ASSASSIN!" (MAJOR ATS BLOWOUT!)
(NCAAB) Vanderbilt vs. Florida,
02/23/2016 2:00 PM, Score: 87 - 74
Point Spread: -4.50 | -105.00 Florida (Home)
Result: Loss
Point Spread: -4.50 | -105.00 Florida (Home)
Result: Loss
This is an 8* ASSASSIN on Florida.
We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based entirely on strong and relevant ATS statistics:
Note that Vanderbilt is just 3-7 ATS on the road this year and only 2-5 ATS off a win vs. a conference rival, while Florida is 6-4 ATS at home and 4-1 ATS off a loss vs. a conference rival.
The bottom line: These strong trends can not be ignored in this spot, play on FLORIDA.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based entirely on strong and relevant ATS statistics:
Note that Vanderbilt is just 3-7 ATS on the road this year and only 2-5 ATS off a win vs. a conference rival, while Florida is 6-4 ATS at home and 4-1 ATS off a loss vs. a conference rival.
The bottom line: These strong trends can not be ignored in this spot, play on FLORIDA.
AAA Sports
