PREMIUM
AAA's BIG-CHALK CHOKE-OUT - +$23K NHL RUN!
(NHL) Columbus vs. Detroit,
02/23/2016 2:30 PM, Score: 1 - 2
Money Line: -189.00 Detroit (Home)
Result: Win
Money Line: -189.00 Detroit (Home)
Result: Win
This is a 5* BIG-CHALK CHOKE-OUT on the Detroit Red Wings.
We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based entirely on strong and relevant ATS statistics:
Note that Columbus is just 7-17 (-10.1 units) this year after allowing four goals or more and only 6-8 (-1.3 units) when playing on back-to-back days, while Detroit is 4-2 (+2.4 units) this season after three or more consecutive losses.
The bottom line: It's a perfect spot wager, off their big win just last night we look for the Jackets to throw in the white towel early and for the hungry and desperate WINGS to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based entirely on strong and relevant ATS statistics:
Note that Columbus is just 7-17 (-10.1 units) this year after allowing four goals or more and only 6-8 (-1.3 units) when playing on back-to-back days, while Detroit is 4-2 (+2.4 units) this season after three or more consecutive losses.
The bottom line: It's a perfect spot wager, off their big win just last night we look for the Jackets to throw in the white towel early and for the hungry and desperate WINGS to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night.
AAA Sports
