Stephen Nover's NFL Total of the Week - 19-7 NFL Totals Run!
(NFL) Tampa Bay vs. Indianapolis, 11/28/2021 1:00 PM, Score: 38 - 31
Total: 53.50 | -112.00 Under
Result: Loss
The marketplace is betting this game up. I understand Jonathan Taylor is the hottest running back in the NFL and Tom Brady leads the league with 29 TD passes.

I just disagree with the move. 

There are key elements that are not being fully accounted for such as the Buccaneers having the No. 1 run defense in the league giving up 78.4 yards on the ground. The Buccaneers are healthier on defense, too. Cornerback Sean Murphy-Bunting is off the injured list. There's a strong chance cornerback Carlton Davis and nose guard Vita Vea play, too, after being out.

I regard Tampa Bay's linebackers as among the best if not the best. 

I don't trust Carson Wentz if Taylor isn't able to do the heavy lifting. The Colts also could be without their best offensive lineman as stud guard Quenton Nelson is questionable with an ankle injury.  

The Colts rank 11th in scoring defense. They are the best in taking the ball away forcing a league-high 24 turnovers. Indy has forced at least one turnover in 12 consecutive games. 

These defenses are not being given enough credit.