Game of the Year *NFL* - Schule's SNF Best Bet - GB@NO +$22,910 ALL NFL YTD
(NFL) Green Bay vs. New Orleans, 10/26/2014 4:30 PM, Score: 23 - 44
Point Spread: 3.00 | -125.00 Green Bay (Away)
Result: Loss
This is a 10* play on the Green Bay Packers.

In recent seasons, the Saints have been money at home in situations such as this. In fact, they are 22-1 SU and 20-3 ATS in their last twenty-three home games under Sean Payton. All the computer models, trends and data you can come up with would suggest that the Sainst are the best bet at home on Sunday night ... but that's not how I roll!

The Packers have won four straight, two of those on the road, and Aaron Rodgers is playing perhaps the best football of his career. Their defense has been great against the pass, but vulnerable against the run. Can New Orleans take advantage of a Green Bay's weak run defense? Maybe not, their leading rusher Khiry Robinson will not play, and Pierre Thomas is also sidelined by injury.

I've been hearing people say all week: "The Saints don't lose at home". My answer to that is simple! Their last two home games were against the Minnesota Vikings and Tampa Buccaneers, and neither of those two victories were at all convincing. They trailed by double digits in the fourth quarter against the Bucs, and were fortunate to come back and win in overtime.

The bottom line is, you can take all those stats that show New Orleans as being invincible at home, and just toss them aside. This isn't that Saints team.

Take Green Bay.

GL,

Jesse Schule