PREMIUM
Rogers' *10* DIVISIONAL TOP TICKET >> SPECIAL OFFER!
(NFL) San Francisco vs. Arizona,
11/13/2016 11:25 AM, Score: 20 - 23
Point Spread: 14.00 | -118.00 San Francisco (Away)
Result: Win
Point Spread: 14.00 | -118.00 San Francisco (Away)
Result: Win
The set-up: The 49ers opened the 2016 season by playing the second of two MNF games in Week 1 and delivered a 28-0 win over the LA Rams, who were held to 185 yards and just 10 FDs. San Francisco travels to Phoenix on Sunday having lost seven straight games (also 0-7 ATS) since that Week 1 win, allowing 37.1 PPG and scoring just 19.9. Arizona was considered a legitimate preseason Super Bowl contender after a 13-3 finish a year ago but the Cardinals are a sub-.500 team at the halfway mark of the season, sitting at 3-4-1 (Seattle leads the NFC West at 5-2-1).
San Francisco: The 49ers played the Cardinals back in Week 5 on a Thursday night, when Blaine Gabbert was still starting at QB for the 49ers and Carson Palmer was sidelined due to the league's concussion protocol for Arizona. The Cards won 33-21 up in San Francisco, as Arizona RB David Johnson had 157 yards rushing with two TDs. That matchup will be a nightmare again in this meeting, as the 49ers rank dead-last in the NFL against the run, allowing 193.0 YPG. Colin Kaepernick has started the last three games, completing only 52.0% with 4 TDs and 2 INTs, while rushing for 173 yards on 7.9 YPC but no TDs. The 49ers have averaged just 18.7 PPG under his leadership but making him the cause of the problem would be unfair.
Arizona: The Cardinals have been beset by injuries but have also been huge underachievers, as well. The offense that set multiple franchise records in 2015 (30.6 PPG which was 2nd in the NFL on 408.3 YPG which ranked first) barely resembles the one, averaging 22.4 PPG (19th) on 374.4 YPG (10th) through eight games of the 2016 season. Palmer won't come close to matching his 2015 numbers n(35-11 ratio & 104.6 QB rating), as he has 10 TDs and six INTs for a QB rating of 80.0. Larry Fitzgerald has 56 catches but is averaging only 9.9 YPC. RB Johnson has been n the mainstay of the offense, rushing for 705 yards (4.5 YPC & 8 TDs), while adding 35 catches for 407 yards. The Arizona defense has played well, allowing 17.5 PPG (4th) on 297.0 YPG (2nd).
The pick: San Francisco has surrendered at least 33 points six times during its losing streak, including each of its last four games and the Cardinals return from their bye week, eager to make a second-half run. When San Francisco played at Arizona last year, the Cardinals won 47-7, as Kaepernick completed only 9 of 19 passes for 67 yards with no touchdowns and had four passes intercepted, two of which were returned for TDs by Arizona. The Cardinals have left little margin of error for themselves here, with losses at home against both the Patriots (without Brady) and the Rams, so one can expect the Cardinals to be focused. However, going back to the start of last year, the Cardinals are just 5-8 ATS at home. This pointspread is YUGE and I'll make the 49ers a 10* play.
San Francisco: The 49ers played the Cardinals back in Week 5 on a Thursday night, when Blaine Gabbert was still starting at QB for the 49ers and Carson Palmer was sidelined due to the league's concussion protocol for Arizona. The Cards won 33-21 up in San Francisco, as Arizona RB David Johnson had 157 yards rushing with two TDs. That matchup will be a nightmare again in this meeting, as the 49ers rank dead-last in the NFL against the run, allowing 193.0 YPG. Colin Kaepernick has started the last three games, completing only 52.0% with 4 TDs and 2 INTs, while rushing for 173 yards on 7.9 YPC but no TDs. The 49ers have averaged just 18.7 PPG under his leadership but making him the cause of the problem would be unfair.
Arizona: The Cardinals have been beset by injuries but have also been huge underachievers, as well. The offense that set multiple franchise records in 2015 (30.6 PPG which was 2nd in the NFL on 408.3 YPG which ranked first) barely resembles the one, averaging 22.4 PPG (19th) on 374.4 YPG (10th) through eight games of the 2016 season. Palmer won't come close to matching his 2015 numbers n(35-11 ratio & 104.6 QB rating), as he has 10 TDs and six INTs for a QB rating of 80.0. Larry Fitzgerald has 56 catches but is averaging only 9.9 YPC. RB Johnson has been n the mainstay of the offense, rushing for 705 yards (4.5 YPC & 8 TDs), while adding 35 catches for 407 yards. The Arizona defense has played well, allowing 17.5 PPG (4th) on 297.0 YPG (2nd).
The pick: San Francisco has surrendered at least 33 points six times during its losing streak, including each of its last four games and the Cardinals return from their bye week, eager to make a second-half run. When San Francisco played at Arizona last year, the Cardinals won 47-7, as Kaepernick completed only 9 of 19 passes for 67 yards with no touchdowns and had four passes intercepted, two of which were returned for TDs by Arizona. The Cardinals have left little margin of error for themselves here, with losses at home against both the Patriots (without Brady) and the Rams, so one can expect the Cardinals to be focused. However, going back to the start of last year, the Cardinals are just 5-8 ATS at home. This pointspread is YUGE and I'll make the 49ers a 10* play.
