Rogers' *10* MNF Total MASSACRE >> 8-3 NFL Primetime Run!
(NFL) Cincinnati vs. NY Giants, 11/14/2016 3:30 PM, Score: 20 - 21
Total: 47.50 | -100.00 Under
Result: Loss
The set-up: The 3-4-1 Cincinnati Bengals (3-4-1) opened the 2016 season by beating the Jets 23-22 at MetLife Stadium in Week 1 and now "return to scene of the crime" to take on the 5-3 NY Giants in the same venue, for a Week 10 MNF matchup. A win by the Bengals will leave them just a half-game back of the Ravens in the NFC North, a division which currently has just one team above .500, with the division as a whole owning fewer wins (12) than any in the NFL. In stark contrast, the Giants find themselves in a division (NFC East) in which all four teams own at least five wins and a victory would still leave the two games behind the first-place 8-1 Dallas Cowboys.

Cincinnati: QB Andy Dalton was enjoying a career year in 2015 when he got hurt in Week 14 against the Steelers and never returned for the regular season's final three games or Cincy's heartbreaking wild card loss to the Steelers. Dalton had a streak of four straight games with a 100-plus QB rating snapped in London, where the Bengals and the Redskins played to a 27-all tie. However, he's completed 68.2% over that five-game span, averaging 282.2 YPG through the air with 7 TDs and just 1 INT (he's also run for 2 TDs). Star wide receiver A.J. Green is second in the NFL with 896 yards, including three games with at least 169 yards plus the offense received an added boost with the return of TE Tyler Eifert against the Redskins, who had played in just one previous game this season. Eifert had 13 TD catches last season and showed what a difference-maker he can be in his first start with nine catches for 102 yards and a TD. A problem all season has been a defense which allowed only 17.4 PPG in 2015, has allowed just about a TD more per game here in 2016, at 23.6.

NY Giants: The Giants opened 2-0, then lost three straight but now gets set to host the MNF game against the Bengals on a three-game winning streak. Eli had just five TD passes through New York's first five games but has seven in the team's three-game winning streak. Odell Beckham Jr. may be one of the league's biggest jerks but he's also among its most talented players. He didn't have a single TD catch among his 22 receptions through New York's first four games but while he also owns 22 catches in his last four contests, he's managed five TD grabs! Eli and Co. do all this with ZERO help from a running game averaging an NFL-worst 68.2 YPG on 3.2 YPC. Overall, the defense is much improved from last year's unit (27.6 PPG), allowing 20.5 PPG to rank 11th.

The pick: Sometimes, it pays not to over-think. This MNF matchup pits two top-notch QBs who will be facing struggling pass defenses. The Bengals allow 262.4 YPG (20th), as well as giving up 16 TD passes with just 7 INTs, while the Giants allow 277.4 YPG (27th) and come in tied for a league-low 11 sacks generated. After Monday night, both offenses should be even higher in the league offensive rankings, making the Over a 10* play.