Earliest Cash MLB 8*
(MLB) Kansas City vs. Milwaukee, 07/21/2021 2:10 PM, Score: 6 - 3
Total: 9.50 | 104.00 Over
Result: Loss
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach MLB Rotation #973 Wednesday 8* OVER the total in Milwaukee Brewers vs Kansas City Royals @ 2:10 ET - Something funny with this line in my opinion. When I look at this one and notice how dominant Lauer has been and how bad Keller has been and plus the Brewers are at home and the Royals are on the road I simply can not make sense of this line being in the -165 range for Milwaukee. No way I would trust Kansas City here but what it tells me is that the odds makers feel that KC does have a respectable shot at the upset here. Notice yesterday's line was similar and the Royals did get the upset and the Brewers went with Anderson on the hill in that one. That said, the only way I see them getting another upset is if Lauer has a sub-par start because Keller is likely to get rocked. Hence, my play on the over here. Keller has a 6.97 ERA his 2 career starts against the Brewers including one this season and one last season. Also, he has a 5.97 ERA this season and his numbers could easily be even worse. On the road this year Keller has a 1.85 ERA and only a dozen more strikeouts than walks and this is over ten starts so command has been an issue for him. As for Lauer, though he has been on a great run, he has walked 4 in each of his last two starts. Also, the Brewers enter this game on a 3-1 run to the over. Also, the Royals are off B2B unders but this was preceded by a 3-0 run to the over. Kansas City scored an average of 6.3 runs per game in those 3 games. The Brewers, prior to yesterday, had scored an average of 8.7 runs per game last 3 games. The KC bullpen particularly struggles on the road. Yesterday the Royals did their part in getting 5 runs but the Brewers scored only 2 runs despite 9 hits. Look for both teams to do their fair share of scoring here as the Royals have one shutout loss last 5 games but scored an average of 6 runs in the other 4 games. They score their fair share here but the Brewers get back on track with a big game at the plate against Keller and a bad bullpen. 8* OVER the total in Milwaukee