On Jan. 4 SFA beat NM State 69-60 and led by 14 points with 48 seconds left in that game. I don't see the change in venue being enough for the Aggies to get revenge here. New Mexico State is 195th overall in KenPom, has lost nine games in a row, and have lost their last four home games against D1 teams by at least four points or more.
SFA is top-21 in field goal and three-point percentage on offense, and is rated as the 124th best team overall by KenPom.
1.5% of SFA
Take SFA.