The Royals have won an MLB-worst 36% of their games as a home underdog. Here they will be starting Austin Cox who has not allowed a run yet this season but has only pitched 12.1 innings and not gone beyond 3.2 innings in a game. Cox will be backed up by a Royals bullpen that has the third-worst ERA in baseball and has record for the second-fewest saves (11).
The Guardians have won six of their last eight games. The Guardians have also won the last five games started by Logan Allen, which includes wins over the Padres, Astros, Twins, and Orioles. Cleveland's bullpen is also second in MLB with a 2.94 ERA and is fourth with 27 saves
2.5% on Cleveland