NFL Week 1: Carolina Panthers vs New Orleans Saints
(NFL) Panthers (CAR) vs. Saints (NO),
Point Spread: 4.00 | -108.00 Panthers (CAR) (Away)
Result: Loss
The Panthers have no where to go but up, and the Saints are on my do not bet list.
Going back to 2005, in September divisional dogs at +5 or less are 61.2% ATS when the total closes under 42.5 points. Expect to see an improved Bryce Young and Carolina team compete.

2% on Panthers at +4.0 or better
1.5% at +3 to 3.5