10* Philadelphia (7:05 ET): I went with the Braves in Tuesday’s series opener and that worked out as they won 5-3. Though the road team never trailed last night, they did need to score twice late (once in the eighth, once in the ninth) to come out ahead. I view this as a pretty even matchup and that’s why I was willing to go with Atlanta at “plus money” yesterday. The same thing now applies to going with Philly tonight and honestly they’re an even better value than the Braves were yesterday, being that they’re at home.

Further playing into the notion of this being an even matchup, both of tonight’s starters have 9-5 team start records. Atlanta’s Kyle Wright has a slightly lower ERA and WHIP compared to Philadelphia’s Ranger Suarez, but recently Suarez has Wright beat. Wright has struggled in his last two starts, giving up 21 hits in 11 ⅓ innings. His offense saved him last time out in what was an eventual 7-6 win over the Giants. Meanwhile, Suarez is off a quality start where he went 7 ⅓ innings and allowed just two runs. The Phillies got the win 6-2 as an underdog at San Diego. Wright is 0-3 with a 5.00 ERA in four career appearances vs. the Phillies.

Atlanta is now 20-5 in June following last night’s win, but Philly isn’t far behind at 18-7. Being without Bryce Harper is a big blow, but the Phillies did score eight runs in a win without him on Sunday. I think they’ll find the necessary offense against Wright, whose number they’ve had in the past (as I mentioned earlier). The Braves are actually still sub-.500 off a win this season, which is pretty shocking given how this month has gone. The Phillies are still 8-3 L11 home games and 12-3 L15 overall when facing a right-handed starter. They are 5-2 off their previous seven losses as well. 10* Philadelphia