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(NBA) Milwaukee vs. Brooklyn, 06/15/2021 8:30 PM, Score: 108 - 114
Total: 217.00 | -113.00 Over
Result: Win
I'm playing on Milwaukee/Brooklyn OVER the total. This is by far the lowest O/U line of the series. I believe it'll prove to be too low. Consider that Game 1 had an O/U line of 239.5. When the teams met at the beginning of May, the O/U line was 244. Yes, things have changed; Irving is out while Harden is still questionable as of this writing. (*Update: As expected, he was officially declared out, after this play was initially posted.) Obviously, that's significant. Still not enough to warrant a line move of nearly four touchdowns in my opinion, though. While they were underdogs for their Game 3 loss, the Nets were slight favorites in Game 4. Off that loss, note that the OVER is 11-5 when Brooklyn was off an upset loss as a favorite. While the OVER is 7-4 when the Nets were off a double-digit loss, the OVER is also 19-12-1 when the Bucks were off a double-digit win. Brooklyn home games are still averaging 228 points while Milwaukee road games are still averaging 232.7. Look for his one to prove higher-scoring than many will be expected, the final combined score finishing above the relatively low number.