I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. On Thursday, the Phillies found themselves trailing before they even came to the plate. They quickly found themselves in a hole which they could never recover from. They'll be in good shape to bounce back with Wheeler on the mound. In 11 home starts, Wheeler has a dominant 2.16 ERA and 0.80 WHIP. By comparison, Fried has an ugly 6.43 ERA and 1.714 WHIP in six road starts. When Fried faced the Phillies here back in the spring, he went only five innings. He allowed eight baserunners (6 hits, 2 walks) and two runs. Philadelphia won 3-2. When Wheeler last faced the Braves, he struck out 12 over eight shutout innings. He didn't walk a batter and only allowed four hits. Philadelphia won 4-3. While I certainly respect Fried, I see Wheeler and the Phillies getting the better of him today. Phillies improve to 44-22 their last 66 as a home favorite in the -125 to -175 range.