MIT Simulator - CFB Saturday Miami vs Virginia Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Hurricanes 28.91, Cavaliers 20.96 - Projected Margin of Victory: 7.95 - Current Line: 18.5 - Variance to Line: 10.55 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 10.55 points. Value is double digits! Projected box-score shows Miami passing edge of 21.55 yards in excess of Virginia passing total. Key factors noted: Hurricanes remain undefeated on the season and have vaulted up the polls off of a huge win over Notre Dame. That makes this a flat spot for Miami. Virginia had a poor effort versus Louisville last week but the Cavaliers were off of an upset win (versus Georgia Tech) the prior week that gave them their 6th W (bowl eligibility) for this season. The Cavs flat week was last week and the Canes flat week is likely to be this week! Cavaliers QB Benkert has 17 TDs and only 4 INTs. Virginia also on a 21-12 ATS run when they are an underdog. The Cavaliers are 7-2 ATS when on the road after a game in which they allowed more than 35 points. Projected box-score shows Hurricanes rushing edge of 49.48 yards in excess of Cavaliers rushing total. Total edge of 71.03 total yards for the big favorite equating to victory by only 7.95 points per MIT Simulator. Play: VIRGINIA