MIT Simulator - NCAAF Saturday Wisconsin vs Miami Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Badgers 28.89, Hurricanes 14.95 - Projected Margin of Victory: 13.94 - Current Line: 4.5 - Variance to Line: 9.44 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 9.44 points. Value nearly double digits! Projected box-score shows Wisconsin passing edge of 26.12 yards in excess of Miami passing total. Key factors noted: Badgers ground game very likely to key victory here. Controlling the ground game means you're also controlling the clock and Wisconsin allowed only 92.6 rushing yards per game this season. Also, the Badgers offense averaged 229.2 rushing yards per game. The Hurricanes offense averaged only 99 rushing yards per game their final 3 games and they showed they were completely "out of their league" against Clemson whereas the Badgers put up a solid fight versus Ohio State in their conference championship game. This is "one more time" where we get to take advantage of a favorable line due to Miami being over-rated. They had a 10-0 SU start but have shown their "true colors" in their last two games and also are on an 0-3 ATS run to close the season out. Going further back the Hurricanes are on a 2-5 ATS run. On the season, Miami went only 2-4 ATS against teams with a winning record. Wisconsin is on a 12-0 SU run as a road favorite and also 9-3 ATS in those games. Projected box-score shows Badgers rushing edge of 112.75 yards in excess of Hurricanes rushing total. Combined edge of 138.87 total yards equating to a win by 13.94 points per MIT Simulator. Play: WISCONSIN