MIT Simulator - NBA Wednesday Celtics vs Cavaliers Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Cleveland 110.19, Boston 102.31 - Projected Margin of Victory: 7.88 - Current Line: +3.5 - Variance to Line: 11.38 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 11.38 points. Value nearly a dozen points! Key factors noted: Celtics will be popular choice here as they are seeking revenge for the loss in last year's Eastern Conference Finals as well as the season opening loss less than 3 months ago at Cleveland. However, the value is with the Cavaliers here. The Cavs are undervalued due to a 12-25 ATS record this season while Boston is over-valued due to a 26-14 ATS record this season. Cleveland is the much stronger team on offense in comparing these two teams. Off of a huge effort where they scored 127 points versus Portland yesterday, they roll in Boston with plenty of confidence. The Celtics are only 3-3 in their last 6 home games and 2 of those 3 wins came by 3 points or less. Boston has covered just 2 of their last 8 home games. Even though the Celtics are the more rested team here, they are only 13-22 ATS when they enter a game with 2 or more days of rest between games. The Cavaliers are 9-5 ATS this season in games against teams with a winning record and bring their top effort again tonight after last night's win. LeBron was the only player who logged more than 26 minutes in last night's big win versus Portland. James and Company rested and ready to go here. Net edge factors for Cavs equating to upset victory by 7.88 points per MIT Simulator. Play: CLEVELAND