MIT Simulator - NFL Sunday Eagles vs Vikings O/U Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Minnesota 17.01, Philadelphia 13.43 - Projected Total Points: 30.44 - Current O/U: 38.5 - Variance to O/U: 8.06 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 8.06 points. Value is in excess of a full touchdown. Key factors noted: Very strong defenses matched up in this one. The Eagles allowed only 10 points last week and are the #4 ranked defense in the league this season for points allowed while the Vikings rank #1. Points will be tough to come by here as both defenses are known for doing a great job in the red zone. The Eagles held firm with a goal-line stand against the Falcons last week and the only 10 points that Atlanta ended up with in that game came off of turnovers. The Vikings shutout out the Saints in the first half last week and another 2nd half meltdown this week is unlikely after they let New Orleans come back on them in the Divisional round. Minnesota doesn't want to be counting on another miraculous win here. Case Keenum and Nick Foles are the quarterbacks here. This is not exactly a match-up of star power at the QB position. The Vikings have averaged 18 points per game in their last 3 road games. The Eagles have averaged 11.3 points per game in their last 3 games.
Both teams will look to chew up clock with ground game. Minnesota O/U is 7-15 in games against teams with a winning record. Philadelphia O/U is 9-16 in home games. When playing at The Linc, the Eagles D has excelled. Projected box-score shows Vikings and Eagles combining for 176.91 yards of rushing total. Projected box-score shows Minnesota and Philadelphia combining for 379.16 yards of passing total. Combined yardage of 556.07 total yards equating to 30.44 points per MIT Simulator. Play: UNDER