MIT Simulator - NBA Thursday Blazers vs Pacers Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Indiana 109.99, Portland 103.34 - Projected Margin of Victory: 6.65 - Current Line: +3.5 - Variance to Line: 10.15 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 10.15 points. Value is double digits! Key factors noted: The Pacers seek revenge for a home loss to the Trail Blazers by 18 points in the opening month of this season. Indiana comes into this game red hot with wins (and covers) in 5 of their last 6 games. The Pacers are 11-6 ATS this season when playing with revenge and 6-3 ATS this season when off of an upset win as an underdog. Indiana is rested, off since Monday, and they are on a multi-season 21-11 ATS run when entering a game with 2 days off between games. Portland is off of a win versus Phoenix but it was their 4th straight non-cover. The Trail Blazers are 8-14 ATS as a favorite this season and 6-12 ATS in home games. When Portland is on an O/U run of 3 or more consecutive overs, their ATS mark is 0-3 this season. When Indiana is on an O/U run of 3 or more consecutive unders, their ATS mark is 2-0 this season. This makes for a double perfect system favoring the Pacers in this match-up. While the Simulator is projecting an upset here, the best bet is in grabbing the points. Net edge factors for the underdog Pacers equating to upset victory by 6.65 points per MIT Simulator. Play: INDIANA