MIT Simulator - NCAAB Monday Illinois vs Michigan State Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Spartans 73.12, Illini 72.05 - Projected Margin of Victory: 1.07 - Current Line: +12 - Variance to Line: 10.93 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 10.93 points. Value is double digits! Key factors noted: Nice set-up here with Michigan State off of a blowout win versus Indiana (which followed 3 straight non-covers for the Spartans). Illinois is happy to be back home as they are on a 5-game losing streak but 4 of those 5 wins were on the road. The Illini have been a much better team at home compared to on the road this season. Illinois is 9-2 SU at home and one loss came by a just a single point and the other loss (in Big Ten action) came by a margin of defeat of only 7 points. Off of a horrible shooting effort at Wisconsin, the Illini are shooting 46% at home this season and averaging 85.5 points in those game. While they won't get to that type of point total against MSU, Illinois is certainly likely to improve on the ugly numbers they had against the Badgers. The Illini are 22-12 ATS when they enter a game on a losing streak of 3 or more consecutive games. Also, in games against teams with a winning record, Illinois is 6-3 ATS this season. Michigan State is 0-4 ATS this season in games that follow a Spartans win in Big Ten action. Net edge factors for Spartans equating to a very tight victory per MIT Simulator. Play: ILLINOIS