Take #302 Liberty over MTSU
(NCAAF) Middle Tennessee vs. Liberty,
Point Spread: -14.50 | -110.00 Liberty (Home)
Result: Loss
The midweek madness of Conference USA action is only halfway through the month of October, but the conference may already be decided with half a season to play. Liberty has four wins and no losses in the conference standings, building a scoring margin of +66. The bigger question is whether or not this is a look-ahead spot for the Flames with Western Kentucky looming on Oct. 24, and third-year signal-caller Kaidon Salter has been better than expected, throwing 14 touchdowns to just two interceptions. Salter has increased his big-time throw rate from 2.4% to 10.3% while cutting down on his turnover-worthy plays by a whopping 75%. Liberty ranks top-five in big-play rate thanks to a rank of third nationally in pass explosives. We think Liberty still brings a can of whoop ass here on Tuesday and MTSU is only 2-5 ATS this year, so they are terrible at covering the number, and we like the Flames to do well yet again.