This is an upgrade from earlier in the week.

Ah Matt Stafford as a big favorite off a big win. This has fade Detroit written all over it. The Lions have a pair of one-point wins and another by three, so they have been very fortunate. Despite an 8-4 straight up mark, they are outscoring teams by only 1.0 points per game.

Stafford is going up against a coach who has owned him. Stafford went 1-5 against the Bears during current Tampa head man Smith tenure in Chicago and completed 60.9% of his passes.

We also have a fantastic angle that says bad road teams coming off a close loss are 328-234-11.