Road teams coming off win as home underdogs are 188-280-12. This of course says to fade Arizona. The winning percentage drops even further when the team to fade has a winning record.

Rams wanted to run and play defense and that is finally what they have been doing. The Rams off consecutive shutouts. Such teams are 3-0 straight up and against the spread by an average of nine points per game.

Talk about regressing to the mean and yes that is the term even you something is actually progressing, the Rams had just sack in the first six weeks, a league record for futility in that category through a team first five games. They have had34 of them since, which is the most in the league in that time.

A long time Carson Palmer critic, I fully acknowledge the last two years he become one of the top dozen or so QBs in the league. While his replacement Drew Stanton is competent, this is a drop off.