It is one of the great counterintuitive bets in gambling and works best in basketball, both CBB and NBA. Iowa State second-leading scorer Bryce Dejean-Jones is suspended. But a large majority of the time a team is without a star player, the first game without him, his teammates rally around the adversity, the markets overreact.

He was a known risk in taking him as a transfer. Head coach Fred Hoiberg has enough talent to overcome and he is an expert on messing talent. ISU gets the win anyway. Iowa has played three good teams, losing outright twice.