S Florida will travel 231 miles to Miami and is playing in state. W Kentucky will travel 858 miles to Miami. USF top margin of cover (sometimes called the sweat barometer) team team in nation at 9-2 +11.9. Teams +11 or better 21-15 in bowls 58%.

USF losses were all quality: Florida State, Maryland, Memphis, and Navy. USF beat Temple and Cincinnati handily. The long rest will help freshen them up for fast tempo WKU. This also fits into a nice bowl angle about going with teams with lesser away winning percentage that is 91-51, though there are other parameters beyond that.