Indiana comes in very hot, covering their last three and winning the last two in blowouts. But that creates a great situation that says peaking teams are hurt by long layoff and this fits into a 42-12 angle that says to fade teams like Indiana.

Duke conversely skidded into the postseason, but at least got some confidence back with a win at weak Wake Forest. But they are the type of team that benefits from the time off. Duke has a little bit of an edge in the trip distance.