Fading hot spread teams in a game that is expected to be close is 49-14. Colder and worse spread teams in bowls are 74-36. One of the basic secrets of our success in dominating bowls is knowing big myths. Squares believe it is best to bet on teams that finished the season strong. This is false. Teams that need to make adjustments benefit from the long rest the most. We have many other overlapping angles that tell us similar things about bad and/or cold spread teams being good bets. When the two quoted apply in the same game, it is 22-6. Yes, home state is normally an edge, but these teams are actually traveling almost the same distance. In fact, Sothern Miss is 12 miles closer.