Wise Guy
(MLB) San Francisco vs. St. Louis,
Money Line: -125.00 St. Louis (Home)
Result: Loss
Pitcher with much worse ERA is a very good bet. This is a clear regression to the mean angle to the tune of +356.63. Superior home team with inferior pitcher is 726-409 for +112.69 units and 6.3 ROI. Combine both and the ROI is 16.6 at 91.26 units.