Go with much better yards per play team is 119-82-3. Colder road favorites are 38-20-3. I have said time and time again, there is no more deceptive stat than SU marks. Both teams are 6-6. Home field advantage is worth three-points. So how is the road team a big chalk? This sets up a counterintuitive winning system. Road favorites despite SU records implying home team is as good or better is 61-43-5.