Wise Guy
(NCAAF) Florida International vs. Florida Atlantic,
Point Spread: -27.50 | -110.00 Florida Atlantic (Home)
Result: Loss
When a team is off consecutive 27 point wins including scoring 36 or more last game, it is a whopping 108-42. Best of all, home teams off 37 or more point win are 580-436 against the spread.

We told you one of the great myths is going with big underdogs in rivalry games. This one does not have much of a history as they are not long-time Division I teams, but the double-digit favorite has covered both times it has occurred in the series.

FAU has covered 6-of-7 and each was by nine or more, the margin of cover, not outright. They have won each of their last two by 34 or more straight up. Florida International has lost three straight by 23 or more straight up, but this is a tougher foe. Seven times this season, they have lost against the spread by 11.5 or more.

Yes I have said that any team that is not bowl eligible by now has not played well in big games. But this is different. This game is huge as FAU can become bowl eligible for the first time in their history and they are on the right side of a mismatch.

Multi-faceted Jaquez Johnson, in his first season at FAU, is on a roll as both a passer and a runner. In the last six games, the Owls have gone 4-2 with Johnson throwing six touchdown passes against only two interceptions. It is blowout time.