These team played identical strength of schedules last year. One team won 20 games and has 5 returning starters and a very experienced bench with 6 seniors on the squad. The other team had 13 wins LY with 3 starters back. This season Southern Illinois comes in 2-2 but its losses were to Kentucky & Buffalo and they held then to 44% and 36% shooting. UMass comes in at 3-2 with the toughest opponent they have faced being Harvard who isn't that good.
I really like Southern Illinois in a big way this afternoon.