Washington's inability to stop the run will doom them in the postseason. The Bucs have a top-five rushing attack and will use that to control the game at home. Mayfield diced up the Commanders in Week 1, completing 80.0% of his passes for four TDs, zero interceptions, and 289 passing yards.

Daniels getting his 1st start in the playoffs will spell trouble. The TB defense is a top-10 run defense that will force Daniels to beat them with his arm. Playing from behind will be Washington's downfall here on Sunday night. Take TB at home to get the win and cover.