This is another game where the starting quarterback is injured. LSU's Mettenberger is out and true freshman Anthony Jennings will be making his first start. This is a huge downgrade and one that Iowa HC Kirk Ferentz should have plenty of time to capitalize on.
Ferentz is not a stranger to being a underdog in a bowl game either so he will have his troops ready to put up a fight as he is 6-2 ATS his last 8 games as an underdog in bowl games.
Iowa has the better quarterback in this game clearly and they have a running game that will wear opposing defenses out. Iowa has the edge on Special Teams as well.
I also like the fact that Iowa's punter pinned almost half of his punts inside the 20 yard line this season and I can see Iowa pulling the upset in this one.