10* Oddsmaker Mistake Super Play
(MLB) Pittsburgh vs. Miami,
Money Line: -116.00 Miami (Home)
Result: Loss
After a profitable 4-3 road trip, the Marlins will be happy to be back home where they are a league best 22-11. Had they not run into Yu Darvish in the final game of their trip, you have to think they would come into this series w/ even more momentum. An additional advantage here is they had yday off while Pittsburgh had a game. I like to back Miami at home where they average 5.1 rpg. If Eovaldi does go, the Fish will be getting a pitcher who has a 2.86 ERA and 0.773 WHIP his L3 starts. He's allowed 3 ER or fewer in 9 of 10 starts.
Meanwhile, it's been a roller coaster for Pirates starter Jeff Locke. The team has lost both, albeit in totally different fashions - 11-10 and 1-0. The latter came Sunday after a month stay on the DL. Pittsburgh is just 12-18 on the road and the Marlins vs. 11-4 record vs lefties looks nice. I love Miami in this spot at home tonight.