NCAAB - Baylor @ TTU
(NCAAB) Baylor vs. Texas Tech, 03/09/2024 6:00 PM, Score: 68 - 78
Point Spread: 2.00 | -110.00 Baylor (Away)
Result: Loss
I'm taking Baylor +2 @ Texas Tech for these reasons:

- Baylor beat Texas Tech at Baylor by 6 points as -6 point favorites. Baylor are 4-4 on the road this season, and to me that doesn't support an 8 point swing the other direction just because Texas Tech are at home.

- Texas Techs defense is good, but Baylors defense is not far behind at all. However offensively, Baylor are light years better than Texas Tech. Baylors offense vs a defensive like TTU, it's almost guaranteed that Baylor will score 75+ here and I can't say the same for TTU who are 3-2 in the last 5 home games, scoring less than 75 in 3 of those 5 games.

- TTU are going to allow 20+ three point shots to Baylor, as they average opponents per game this season..... not a good idea with Baylor shooting 40% from 3pt range, 49% from the fields overall, and they are top 30 in getting to the free-throw line. Lack of defense from the three, will only open up the rest of the offense for Baylor.

- Baylor out rebounded TTU 33 to 19. I can't see a way that TTU generate points if Baylor controls the glass, the pace, and pressure of this game.

Official Play: Baylor +2 (Sprinkle Moneyline)

Side Bet: Under 147.50