I'm on the Under of 230.5 in this Rockets @ Thunder matchup, for these reasons:

- OKC are flying back from New Orleans to play this game vs the Rockets, and should be on somewhat tired legs offensively due to that outing vs a playoff team and travel.

- Rockets and OKC are both top 12 defenses and offenses that don't make mistakes with the ball (Top 10 in turnovers).

- Rockets have a slow paced offense that can't afford a track meet with the Thunder. They will be coming into this game more rested, knowing that defense will be the key vs a more tired opponent returning home.

- Matchups that I like defensively: Brooks vs Gilgeous Alexander, Ausur Thompson vs Jalen Williams.

- These teams have already played 3 times this season, and not one game have hit the over.

Official Play: Under 230.5

Side Bet: Rockets +6

Hail Mary: Jalen Williams under Points Prop