I'm on the Under 221.5 in this Milwaukee vs Memphis Grizzlies game, for these reasons:

- Milwaukee have been a better defensive team at home since being coached by Doc Rivers. The only times they've had issues keeping teams under 110 points, were games where teams were efficient scoring.

- Grizzlies are injury riddled and are rarely scoring 100 points vs playoff caliber teams. Also, They only scored 110 on the Pistons in a win on April 1st, 88 points in a loss to the Magic, 103 in a loss to the Nuggets, and 99 points vs the Spurs. Those were all away games too. So they are presenting a poor output offensively on the road.

- The Bucks are liable to blow this team out by halftime. But with the last meeting being a loss to the Grizzlies (same injured roster) I don't want to bet the -13 with Milwaukee.

- Grizzlies are still a top 13 defense. So that will be the gameplan for them to win, will be to make things difficult on the scoring end for Milwaukee, less likely to engage in a shootout.

Official Play: Under 221.5

Side Bet: Grizzlies +13

Hail Mary: Jaren Jackson Jr Under 23.5 Points