I'm on the Suns +2 @ Timberwolves for these reasons:

- Star power and Experience of the Suns will be the deciding factor of what happens in this series, and with Booker, Beal and Durant fully healthy, there is a mismatch offensively when looking at these two teams.

- Suns 3-2 in the last 5 heading into this game 1, winning their last 3 straight road games.

- Timberwolves are also 3-2 in their last 5, but are 1-4 ATS in that stretch, recently losing to Phoenix to end the season @ home by 19 points

- Nurkic has been playing very well and should be able to man the painted area underneath the basket offensively and defensively (which happens to be the weak spot of the Suns in this series) I expect Gobert to have a tough time battling Nurkic in terms of rebounding.

- Anthony Edwards has not scored over 17 points vs the Suns this season. If he's held defensively, the Timberwolves are COOKED.

- Suns are 3-0 vs The Timberwolves this season. They are also 3-0 ATS vs them

Official Play: Suns +2

Side Bet: Devin Booker over 6.5 Assists

Hail Mary: Over 214