I'm on the Over 221 in this Game 3 of Pacers heading home to play Milwaukee, for these reasons:

- I expect shots to fall even more successfully than they did in Milwaukee Game 2 for The Pacers. They were lights out in that road game, now heading home where they have been extremely efficient.

- Bucks are going to be pushed with a faster pace than they had in Game 1 and 2, which will force them into a shootout as the Pacer want. Bucks without Giannis are equipped to play at a quick pace, shooting 44% and better in this series and 38% and better from 3pt range.

- Pacers haven't shown defensive efficiency yet this series and they're likely to abandon it again at home and dare Milwaukee to make their shots.

Official Play: Over 221

Side Bet: Haliburton over 16.5 points

Hail Mary: Pacers -6