Im betting on the Over of 207 in this game 5 of Mavs / Clippers for these reasons:

- No Kawhi Leonard. The defense for the Clippers will be much more depreciated without him guarding Luka. I expect the Clippers to choose violence by offense, rather than focusing on stopping the Mavs defensively (that being the harder focal point)

- Pace of play increases without Kawhi Leonard available. Last game hit 227, Game 1 hit 206. The Clippers should be more efficient at home and will be able to score near their season average.

- Luka is going to be unhinged. 29 in the last game, 33 in game one @ LA, 32 in game 2 @ LA... there's no stopping him without elite defenders available.

- More shots for Harden and Paul George = More three point attempts. We should see more shots taken this game while Kawhi Leonard is out for LA.

Official Play: Over 207

Side Bet: Mavs Moneyline

Hail Mary: Luka Doncic over 33.5 points