I'm on the Over 206 in this Clippers @ Mavs Game for these reasons:

- The last two games have hit the over and in game 5, the Clippers didn't even score 100. I see both teams hitting 100+ tonight in what would be the closeout game if Clippers lose (they will lose, but I don't think by 8 plus)

- Dallas hasn't shot well from deep at home thus far thus series, buy they are shooting 33+ attempts from long range and positive regression is bound to occur (I like Luka over 3.5 3pt shots made)

- I reiterate, the Clippers played God awful last game offensively. The big three available only combined for 28 points and Zubac was tied for leading Scorer. They are not getting embarrassed again like that in a primetime spot.

- Clippers best chance of winning is to convert their 3pt shots. They shot 62% in game 4 @ Dallas. They should be able to replicate decent percentage again from deep.

Official Play: Over 206

Side Bet: Luka over 3.5 3pt shots made

Hail Mary: Clippers +8