I'm on the Over of 217.50 for these reasons:

- I don't expect Mavs to shoot 34% from deep again, and Luka will respond after being held to 19.

- I do expect OKC to maintain a lock on the rebounding front, and them being the faster team and controlling the pace, just means more shots taken.

- Both teams shot 35 three-pointers, both teams shot 25+ Freethrows

- Mavs are playing terrible defense. They need to win the battle of offenses to have a chance, not slow the Thunder down defensively. They are too big and too slow to focus on defensive pressure.

- 4 of the last 5 meetings have gone over this total

Official Play: Over 217.5

Side Bet: Mavs +5

Hail Mary: Luka over 30.5 points