I'm on the Over of 204.5 in this Nuggets @ Timberwolves Game, for these reasons:

- I expect the Nuggets to finally score 100 points this game. 34% from the field last game was an anomaly, and they should positively regress back to their 46% - 52% efforts in game 3.

- Being down 0-2. That's motivation enough for the Nuggets to find a way through this Minnesota defense, to give themselves a chance to regain the hopes of winning this series. You go down 3-0 to Minnesota in crash/burn fashion offensively, and this series will be done by the end of this weekend.

- Jokic and Murray are not combining for 24 points again. Team still scored 80 points in the last game with those bad Stat-lines, but we should see a more efficient scoring output from the 2 best from Denver's side.

- Takes two to tango in an "Over" bet, and we will not have to worry about the Timberwolves side of this over. Twolves have scored over 100 points in 19 of the last 20 home games, dating back to February.

- I have the Timberwolves winning this game, but it's going to be close in the end when looking at the spread (even though Nuggets were blown out, it's still a 4.5 point spread) so I'm predicting a 103 - 106 win for the Wolves, in route to a Sweep.

Official Play: Over 204.5

Side Bet: Nuggets +4.5

Hail Mary: Jokic over 28.5 points (up to 29.5)