I’m on the Brewers money line in this home game vs the Cincinnati Reds for these reasons:

- Batting advantage is heavily in the favor of the home team. Brewers rotation has bats that average well against right handed pitchers, while the opposite can be said about Cincinnati. De La Cruz struggles more vs right handed pitchers, as well as India and Candelairio. No surprised coming from a reds team that is 3rd worst in hits this season, and top 10 most struck out bats. Righty Aaron Civale is on the mound for the Brewers, and he’s averaging 4.9 strikeouts per game featured. He does get hit often, but I don’t trust the reds to take advantage of that on the road.

- Carson Spiers is starting for the Reds, and he’s been doing well for the reds, averaging almost 1 strike per inning, 4-3 record, 1.16 WHIP. The problem is, that he struggles against Left Handed Batters, allowing a batting average of .289 to lefties, and that’s not good vs a lineup with Christian Yelich, Sal Frelick, Brice Turang, and Blake Perkins at the plate vs you as a right handed pitcher who has an ERA of 3.59 and 56 hits allowed in 59 innings pitched. Hell, even mention the Right handed batters Jackson Chourio and William Contreras who also bat over .260 vs right handed pitchers.

Official Play: Brewers Moneyline

Side Bet: Under 9.5 Runs

Hail Mary: Aaron Civale over 16.5 Outs (I see him pitching 6 innings, to finish with 17 - 18 outs)