Im on the Raiders Moneyline at home vs Jags for these reasons:

- Aidan O’Connell is back for the Raiders, and him missing the last game vs the Falcons is the reason that over didn’t cash for us. He’s a competent QB who is accurate and has a lot of attempts for obvious reasons (his defense is trash). This means good things for Brock Bowers and Jakobi Myers in this matchup vs a bottom tier Jags passing defense.

- I realize we are betting on the Raiders defense to play better, but Mac Jones hasn’t been good enough for us to fear the Jags destroying the secondary of Las Vegas. They stopped the Falcons last week from scoring 20 and I don’t believe the Jags will score 20 here either, which gives most of the pressure of our bet to Aidan O’Connell and company, which I can live with.

- Raiders are due for a win. They haven’t won since September, but they also finally have a team that’s beatable and working with a backup QB. Las Vegas has had a brutal schedule, and it’s lightening up to end the season.

Official Play: Raiders Moneyline

Side Bet: Brock Bowers over 68.5 receiving yards

Hail Mary: Brian Thomas over 5.5 receptions