Chelsea is coming into this match with a heavy trend to the over in their recent matches. They have gone over 3 goals in their last 2 straight as well as 6 of their last 8 matches. Their attack has been very good in these matches as they have scored 5 goals in their last 2 matches alone, but their defense has also been bad as they have allowed 4 goals in their last 2 matches. When playing at home, they have gone over 3 goals in 2 of their last 3 as well as 3 of their last 5 matches. They are going up against a Newcastle side that has also been trending to the over in their recent matches. They have gone over 3 goals in 5 of their last 7 matches with 6 of those 7 matches seeing at least 3 goals total in them. When playing in Premier League matches alone, they have seen 3 goals or more in their last 6 straight matches. Their attack has been great in these league matches as they have been averaging over 2 goals scored per match in that span, but their defense has also been averaging over 2 goals allowed per match in that span as well. Both of these teams have very potent attacks that have been scoring a lot of goals recently but both teams also have shaky defenses that have been conceding a lot and this has led to both teams struggling to pick up a lot of points in their recent matches. Both of these teams are going to be pushing for the win here as the points are needed for both and neither of these defenses will be able to keep the other out. Between these two sides, there will be enough goals in this match to push it over 3.5 goals.
England Premier League: Chelsea/Newcastle United over 3.5 goals, Rot. 200121