Michigan has shown that their defense can withstand most teams offense, and in this matchup, despite them being on the road, should see the Wolverines winning. Penn State did not play well against Ohio State and their offense did not show up in that game and had difficulties in the red zone. Penn State can be out muscled by a team like Michigan who has the better quarterback and offense in addition to it's stout defense. Michigan is the more complete team who have played the better schedule when compared to Penn State and have covered all their road games this season. Lay the points in this spot.

Head to head, Michigan is 7-3 ATS in their last ten games played against each other. Michigan are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. Michigan are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Penn State. Michigan are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on the road. Penn State are 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games played in week 11. Penn St. is 3-20 ATS vs. incredible defensive teams who give up 12 or less points per game since 1992. Michigan is 7-0 ATS in road games after allowing 17 points or less in 3 straight games over the last 3 seasons. Penn State is 0-1 ATS this season and 1-3 ATS in the last three seasons as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points.

Best bet: lay the points with Michigan.