Both of these teams desperately need to win this game for their respective divisional races, and whoever falls behind has to push for points to stay in the game. The Bucs can get points in this game with Baker playing so well this season, and expect more chunk plays than running in this game from both teams, which helps for more drives and more points. The total has gone over in the last four of five games Tampa Bay has played and when they play the Jaguars, their last four of six games have gone over the total. If Trevor plays and he should as he's been cleared to play, should be able to create those offensive points as well. Both defenses can't be counted on this matchup so look for the score to go over the total in what could be a back and forth scoring type of game. It will be up to the Jaguars to match the Bucs offense, especially the way the Bucs have been playing recently, but the jags have talent to respond.

The total has gone Over in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games against an opponent in the AFC South division. Jacksonville is 3-1 to the Over this season off a home loss. The Jaguars are 5-2 to the Over this season after allowing 6 or more yards/play in their previous game. TB is 5-2 to the Over this season after playing their last game on the road.

Best bet: take the Over the Total.