South Florida are on top of the AAC and are an underdog at home to a SMU team that is fourth place in that conference. SMU just lost to FAU the other night and where the underdogs and now they are favored in this spot. This is a case of the wrong team being favored and a little disrespect towards the Bulls who have won 12 games in a row and have a chance to go 14-1 in conference play for the season. This is a big game, both play defense well but the edge goes to the home team in what will be a tight game. USF are 5-2-1 ATS as an underdog this season.

Southern Methodist are 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games. South Florida are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games. South Florida are 10-0 SU in their last 10 games.
South Florida are 11-0 SU in their last 11 games at home. USF is 11-4 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in a week this season. USF are 5-0 ATS this season when the line is +3 to -3. USF are 4-0 ATS this season off a road win.

Best bet: take the points with South Florida.