Yale was not the best team in the Ivy League this season and needed a buzzer beater to win their conference title. This does not instill any confidence in taking Yale in this spot as this is a step up in talent for them, playing a very good defensive SEC team who could go for a deep run in this tournament. Auburn enters the tournament on a five game win streak and had an impressive showing in the SEC tournament, winning the title this year. They crushed a good offensive Florida team so they should do the same here with Yale. Auburn will lock down on defense and prevent the Bulldogs from getting any second looks and force them to throw from outside the perimeter as the Tigers run up the score and keep the Bulldog's offense in check. Yale will struggle to keep up especially if they go down early. The last time these two played each other, Auburn won 86-64. Everything is coming together at the right time for this Tigers team and they should get the cover here with no issues. Take the Tigers in this spot.

Yale are 0-1 ATS this season and 1-5 ATS in the last few seasons as an underdog of 10 or more points. Yale are 0-10 SU in their last 10 games against an opponent in the Southeastern conference. Auburn are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games. Auburn are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games when playing as the favorite. Yale are 0-1 ATS in the last few seasons in the first round of the NCAA tournament and 0-2 ATS in the last few seasons in all tournament games. Auburn are 11-5 ATS this season as a favorite of 10 or more points. Auburn are 2-0 ATS this season and 5-0 ATS in the last few seasons as a neutral court favorite of 12.5 or more points. Auburn are 2-0 ATS in the last few seasons in the first round of the NCAA tournament.

Best bet: lay the points with Auburn.